Friday, July 16, 2010

A question on a political theory.. how politically smart are you???

k... I'm developing a political theory and looking for a causal story. I have ideas.





The theory says that the more government increases spending on technology research and development, the better the president's approval rating will be.





Why would this work? I have ideas. It's basically rooted in that when R%26amp;D is up, then consumer confidence is up and the economy is more healthy. When the economy is more healthy then people attribute that to the president.





I'm sure there are holes in the causal story. There are steps i'm missing. OR maybe it's just altogether wrong.





If so, prove it.

A question on a political theory.. how politically smart are you???
It is a sound theory, but you need to fill some gaps.





There is no direct causal relationship between R%26amp;D and consumer confidence. But you can still make a connection by assuming that when government encourages or funds R%26amp;D, its results (say, gene therapy) gives public a sense of hope and progress, which in turn increases consumer confidence and improves economy.





Your second statement is a generally true proposition. Voters tend to re-elect the same president if the economy was good. However, the most recent presidential election disproves that theory. Economy is not the only or determining factors in presidential elections, but it’s an important one.
Reply:Pass that on to Carl...


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